NBL ladder 2023: Fixtures and outcomes for each staff nonetheless capable of make the finals, predictions


With one spherical left in NBL23, all of it comes all the way down to this. One among Melbourne United, SEM Phoenix and Perth will miss the highest six — or two, if Adelaide can pull off a miracle. PREDICTIONS

The NBL season goes down the wire, with eight groups nonetheless mathematically capable of make the highest six.

As golf equipment jostle for seeding, one in every of Melbourne United, cross-town rival South East Melbourne and the Perth Wildcats will miss — even when all of them end on the identical variety of wins.

Buckle up, the final spherical of NBL23 goes to be a thrill journey.

Michael Randall and stats guru Duncan Berg have crunched the numbers forward of the final spherical, with seven video games set to resolve who makes the league’s new play-in format — and who may have their hearts damaged.




Spherical 17: 5-4

Spherical 18: 1-0


1. Sydney

2. New Zealand

3. Cairns

4. Tasmania

5. South East Melbourne

6. Melbourne

7. Perth

8. Adelaide


***Lowest and highest finishes calculated earlier than R18 video games

1. SYD (19 wins)

Factors %: 110.19

Highest end: Prime

Lowest end: Prime

Run house: ADE (A), PER (A)

Prediction: W, W — 21 wins (First)

Prime spot locked away and one of the best staff in it. Laborious to see anybody beating them throughout a collection however might they relaxation gamers in Adelaide and Perth?

2. NZB (17)

Factors %: 107.75

Highest end: Second

Lowest end: Fourth

Run house: ILL (A), BNE (A)

Prediction: W (TICK), W — 18 wins (Second)

Backside two sides current a tasty alternative to catch the Taipans and keep away from the play-in on share. Rolling on the proper time. Sydney’s largest hazard?

3. CNS (17)

Factors %: 102.86

Highest end: Second

Lowest end: Third

Run house: PER (A)

Prediction: L — 17 wins (Third)

More likely to fall to 3rd, even when they win towards Perth, due to the Breakers’ simple run house and superior share.

4. TAS (15)

Factors %: 102.50

Run house: ILL (A)

Highest end: Third

Lowest end: Seventh

Run house: ILL (A)

Prediction: W — 16 wins (Fourth)

All of us maintain underrating them however the Jackies had an enormous win over Perth and will smack Illawarra to complete fourth. Can nonetheless miss the finals, however gained’t.

5. PER (14)

Factors %: 100.54

Highest end: Fourth

Lowest end: Eighth

Run house: CNS (H), SYD (H)

Prediction: W, L — 15 wins (Seventh)

Reckon they miss for a second consecutive yr. Want Bryce to blow up, however defence is non-existent, a difficulty magnified when the stakes are this excessive. Would possibly get struggling Taipans, however Kings are flying.

6. SEM (15)

Factors %: 101.63

Run house: Season full

Highest end: Fourth

Lowest end: Seventh

Prediction: 15 wins (Fifth)

Nearly sure to make it, regardless of the loss to the Kings. Would miss if Perth wins each video games and United beats Adelaide by heaps.

7. MEL (14)

Factors %: 100.04

Highest end: Fourth

Lowest end: Eighth

Run house: ADE (H)

Prediction: W — 15 wins (Sixth)

Must beat Adelaide and pray for the Wildcats to lose each (or a minimum of one by heaps to bridge share hole) to guide a blockbuster Throwdown play-in towards South East Melbourne. The disastrous December fadeout in Perth looms massive.

8. ADE (12)

Factors %: 97.94

Highest end: Sixth

Lowest end: Eighth

Run house: SYD (H), MEL (A)

Prediction: L, L — 12 wins (Eighth)

So that you’re telling me there’s an opportunity?

Initially printed as NBL run house and ladder: Which six groups will make the NBL finals?



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